PLATTSBURGH — How President Donald Trump’s planned tariff on Canadian goods will affect the North Country has local leaders deeply concerned.
“The imposition of a broad 25% tariff on Canadian goods is directly harmful bi-nationally, nationally and locally,” Garry Douglas, President of the North Country Chamber of Commerce, said.
“The White House has confirmed they will be imposed on Feb. 1 unless there is some sort of last-minute reprieve, which we would hope is possible.”
The chamber estimates the annual economic impact of cross-border economics and investment in all forms surpasses $1 billion just in Clinton County.
“It is the single biggest dynamic in the North Country economy,” Douglas said.
IMPACTS
The chamber has been highlighting some the very direct impacts on the North Country economy in addition to broader macro impacts bi-nationally, including:
– The Canadian-based manufacturers who are specifically located in the Plattsburgh region for interactions with their Quebec factories and key suppliers.
– The inability of area transportation equipment companies to pass along higher costs as they are locked into multi-year fixed-price contracts.
– At least two major non-Canadian manufacturers in the area who need to source raw materials from Canada. In one case, their supply costs would increase $16 million annually.
– Two manufacturers who have put planned expansions this year on hold due to the uncertainties.
– Local energy cost impacts including the fact that 100% of the region’s natural gas comes down by pipeline from Canada; huge quantities of Canadian hydro power help to supply our grid; and most of our heating oil and gas comes from the Port of Montreal.
– Construction material price increases. For example, 100% of our region’s asphalt and cement comes from Quebec.
– Higher costs for area dairy farmers for sileage coming from Manitoba.
– Diminished warehouse activity involving U.S. distribution of Canadian goods.
As would be expected, many companies have stockpiled components and materials over the last few months ahead of tariffs.
“But the realities of space and, in some cases finances, limits that to buying perhaps weeks, not months,” Douglas said.
“And one major manufacturer has had no ability to stockpile at all.”
LONG RELATIONSHIP
“As we have long pointed out, the U.S. and Canada are not so much in an old-fashioned trade relationship but in a post-trade economic partnership where we make things together and lift both economies up in competition with the world,” Douglas said.
“Economic integration is deeper and broader across the entire U.S. than most states realize. We just happen to be in a trans-border region where the impacts are especially visible and really felt.”
“And don’t think this doesn’t impact tourism and cross-border shopping.”
Douglas said that it is estimated that these huge tariffs will knock at least three points off Canada’s GDP, causing a recession.
“We know a recession undercuts consumer spending and travel, not to mention predictable negativity by many of our neighbors towards spending in the U.S. as a result,” he said.
“And the steep devaluation of the Loonie.”
Douglas says the chamber will continue to work in collaboration with partners on both sides of the border to encourage agreements on border security and on a review of the USMCA trade deal, hopefully leading to a reversal of the tariffs as soon as possible.
SCHUMER SPEAKS OUT
In a statement Friday afternoon, New York Sen. Chuck Schumer called on Trump to “start focusing on getting the prices down instead of making them go up.”
“All tariffs are not created equal. Donald Trump is aiming his new tariffs at Mexico, Canada, and China but they will likely hit Americans in their wallets. I am concerned these new tariffs will further drive up costs for American consumers,” the statement said.
“We should be focused on going hard against competitors who rig the game, like China, rather than attacking our allies. If these tariffs go into full effect, they will raise prices for everything from groceries, to cars, to gas, making it even harder for middle-class families to just get by.”